Population Projections 2000-2035 - Revised November 2019

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These projections are not intended to be a forecast; rather, they are intended to demonstrate a likely scenario if future events unfold in a manner that reflects previous trends observed within each group. The model cannot account for unprecedented events that may significantly alter an area’s demographic composition in the future. These possible events include large factory openings or closings, changes in technology, public health crises, environmental events, changes in the economy, or other conditions that could affect birth rates, death rates, or domestic and international migration. This means that population projections are likely to be more accurate in the immediate future than in distant years into the future.

Data Table
Files with Population Estimates from 2000-2018 and Population Projections from 2019-2035 Containing Detailed Characteristics
Characteristics of spreadsheet data Link to spreadsheet file
Total population by sex and single year and county South Carolina population estimates from 2000-2018 and population projections from 2019-2035: County totals
Total population by sex and single year and county-Age groups:Five-year groups from 0-4 through 80-84, and 85 and older South Carolina population estimates from 2000-2018 and population projections from 2019-2035: Five-year age groups
Total population by sex and single year and county-Age groups: 0-4, 5-17, 18-64, 65 and older South Carolina population estimates from 2000-2018 and population projections from 2019-2035: Four broad age groups
Total population by sex and single year and county-Age groups: 0-17, 18-64, 5-21, 65-74, 65 and older, 75 and older South Carolina population estimates from 2000-2018 and population projections from 2019-2035: Selected age groups
Data Table
South Carolina Population Estimates from 2000-2015 and Population Projections from 2020-2035 (see files at links above for more detail)
County July 1, 2000 Estimate* July 1, 2005 Estimate July 1, 2010 Estimate* July 1, 2015 Estimate July 1, 2020 Projection July 1, 2025 Projection July 1, 2030 Projection July 1, 2035 Projection
Abbeville 26,229 25,995 25,310 24,775 24,300 23,710 23,025 22,195
Aiken 142,742 150,152 160,531 165,657 171,320 175,635 178,735 180,550
Allendale 11,193 11,021 10,354 9,420 8,515 7,630 6,870 6,160
Anderson 166,304 175,467 187,109 193,743 204,570 214,715 224,750 234,420
Bamberg 16,680 16,360 15,956 14,689 13,780 12,635 11,525 10,425
Barnwell 23,478 22,965 22,637 21,782 20,655 19,515 18,395 17,250
Beaufort 122,306 141,498 162,846 179,825 195,910 213,985 231,950 248,860
Berkeley 143,410 153,489 179,420 203,035 232,400 261,625 293,125 326,615
Calhoun 15,192 15,212 15,094 14,760 14,290 13,655 13,060 12,345
Charleston 310,749 331,589 350,963 389,299 418,965 450,895 480,890 508,730
Cherokee 52,649 53,772 55,535 56,511 57,360 57,960 58,315 58,350
Chester 34,159 33,373 33,153 32,395 32,005 31,280 30,515 29,625
Chesterfield 42,911 44,766 46,624 46,156 45,485 44,750 43,765 42,475
Clarendon 32,528 33,847 34,950 33,978 33,295 32,235 30,940 29,340
Colleton 38,304 38,728 38,896 37,452 37,570 37,320 36,920 36,285
Darlington 67,523 68,185 68,521 67,519 66,255 64,760 62,970 60,820
Dillon 30,699 31,239 32,077 31,165 30,250 29,325 28,310 27,160
Dorchester 96,757 113,235 137,057 152,854 166,780 182,255 198,030 213,820
Edgefield 24,586 26,196 26,973 26,767 27,150 27,370 27,475 27,425
Fairfield 23,479 24,132 23,841 22,878 22,000 21,005 19,920 18,640
Florence 125,767 130,982 137,140 138,740 137,780 136,405 134,255 131,405
Georgetown 56,080 59,521 60,347 61,483 62,760 63,805 64,115 63,515
Greenville 380,949 405,608 452,672 490,860 530,905 573,060 616,105 659,270
Greenwood 66,303 67,630 69,788 70,010 70,960 71,385 71,575 71,430
Hampton 21,344 21,109 21,072 19,966 18,900 17,805 16,690 15,545
Horry 198,019 229,899 270,257 308,956 370,075 438,825 517,155 603,675
Jasper 20,721 21,845 24,931 27,428 30,185 33,390 37,060 40,895
Kershaw 52,851 56,506 61,706 63,648 66,685 69,340 71,845 74,145
Lancaster 61,571 65,875 76,972 86,322 101,970 119,370 138,925 160,500
Laurens 69,428 67,629 66,526 66,474 67,135 67,415 67,420 67,055
Lee 20,088 20,079 19,209 17,798 16,640 15,425 14,305 13,175
Lexington 216,873 235,176 263,334 281,779 303,605 324,860 345,560 365,575
McCormick 9,957 10,049 10,213 9,661 9,180 8,565 7,905 7,135
Marion 35,463 34,334 32,959 31,767 30,575 29,300 27,935 26,450
Marlboro 28,800 27,918 28,917 27,574 25,725 24,050 22,430 20,820
Newberry 35,958 36,399 37,610 37,776 38,840 39,620 40,325 40,855
Oconee 66,434 70,581 74,341 75,888 79,595 82,490 84,940 86,830
Orangeburg 91,524 92,197 92,320 89,170 85,250 80,950 76,480 71,710
Pickens 111,062 114,344 119,322 121,521 126,595 131,255 135,865 139,525
Richland 321,981 349,003 385,757 405,992 420,845 436,420 451,000 463,530
Saluda 19,191 19,131 19,915 20,187 20,680 20,905 21,055 21,110
Spartanburg 254,443 264,481 284,748 296,580 323,555 348,085 373,465 399,415
Sumter 104,802 106,082 107,612 107,173 105,740 103,570 100,870 97,690
Union 29,971 29,241 28,929 27,736 27,115 26,370 25,605 24,705
Williamsburg 37,145 35,193 34,347 32,518 29,630 27,290 24,955 22,575
York 165,620 188,117 226,865 250,586 289,590 329,925 374,385 423,060
South Carolina 4,024,223 4,270,150 4,635,656 4,892,253 5,213,370 5,542,140 5,881,710 6,223,085
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Notes:

*July 1, 2000 and July 1, 2010 estimates are not equal to April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010 decennial census counts, and are included here for the purpose of trend analysis.

With each new release of annual estimates, the entire time series of estimates is revised for all years back to the last census, and all previously published estimates are superseded.

 

Sources:

U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Estimates of the Resident Population - Vintage 2018.

S.C. Department of Health and Environmental Control - Vital Records Department.

Population projections are calculated by South Carolina Department of Revenue and Fiscal Affairs - Health and Demographics Section.