These projections are not intended to be a forecast; rather, they are intended to demonstrate a likely scenario if future events unfold in a manner that reflects previous trends observed within each group. The model cannot account for unprecedented events that may significantly alter an area’s demographic composition in the future. These possible events include large factory openings or closings, changes in technology, public health crises, environmental events, changes in the economy, or other conditions that could affect birth rates, death rates, or domestic and international migration. This means that population projections are likely to be more accurate in the immediate future than in distant years into the future.

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Files with Population Estimates from 2010-2019 and Population Projections from 2020-2035 Containing Detailed Characteristics
Characteristics of spreadsheet data Link to spreadsheet file
Total population by sex and single year and county South Carolina population estimates from 2010-2019 and population projections from 2020-2035: Single-year age groups
Total population by sex and single year and county-Age groups:Five-year groups from 0-4 through 80-84, and 85 and older South Carolina population estimates from 2010-2019 and population projections from 2020-2035: Five-year age groups
Total population by sex and single year and county-Age groups: 0-4, 5-17, 18-64, 65 and older South Carolina population estimates from 2010-2019 and population projections from 2020-2035: Four broad age groups
Total population by sex and single year and county-Age groups: 0-17, 18-64, 5-21, 65-74, 65 and older, 75 and older South Carolina population estimates from 2010-2019 and population projections from 2020-2035: Selected age groups
South Carolina Population Estimates from 2010-2015 and Population Projections from 2020-2035
(links to downloadable files above)
County 2010 Estimates
Total		 2015 Estimates
Total		 2020 Projections
Total		 2025 Projections
Total		 2030 Projections
Total		 2035 Projections
Total
South Carolina 4,635,846 4,896,006 5,225,257 5,565,142 5,913,634 6,263,614
Abbeville 25,338 24,814 24,509 24,103 23,543 22,798
Aiken 160,558 165,827 172,538 178,491 183,237 186,760
Allendale 10,354 9,435 8,431 7,462 6,561 5,739
Anderson 187,095 193,806 204,486 214,765 224,862 234,656
Bamberg 15,945 14,676 13,888 12,811 11,792 10,678
Barnwell 22,639 21,791 20,711 19,623 18,429 17,165
Beaufort 162,843 180,070 196,122 213,544 230,803 247,116
Berkeley 179,492 203,313 235,434 268,464 304,544 343,534
Calhoun 15,098 14,758 14,428 13,978 13,407 12,716
Charleston 350,998 389,885 418,690 448,631 476,353 501,808
Cherokee 55,534 56,534 57,479 58,145 58,427 58,323
Chester 33,163 32,420 32,110 31,693 31,114 30,426
Chesterfield 46,612 46,161 45,487 44,698 43,557 42,073
Clarendon 34,947 34,037 33,654 32,844 31,719 30,278
Colleton 38,886 37,444 37,720 37,750 37,572 37,229
Darlington 68,513 67,539 66,404 65,064 63,330 61,227
Dillon 32,080 31,138 30,158 29,161 28,023 26,777
Dorchester 137,005 152,946 166,475 181,292 196,195 210,930
Edgefield 26,965 26,789 27,457 27,956 28,264 28,382
Fairfield 23,860 22,899 22,155 21,279 20,193 18,887
Florence 137,161 138,781 137,806 136,005 133,289 129,827
Georgetown 60,343 61,506 63,373 64,957 65,727 65,531
Greenville 452,688 491,218 533,496 577,459 622,390 667,689
Greenwood 69,759 69,992 71,164 72,111 72,766 73,079
Hampton 21,074 19,969 19,097 17,984 16,796 15,543
Horry 270,295 309,350 367,524 434,904 511,272 595,234
Jasper 24,949 27,490 31,140 35,497 40,470 45,868
Kershaw 61,700 63,677 67,431 70,800 73,915 76,745
Lancaster 76,976 86,346 101,554 118,277 136,731 156,829
Laurens 66,519 66,459 67,572 68,132 68,367 68,224
Lee 19,221 17,813 16,571 15,162 13,832 12,537
Lexington 263,365 281,855 303,708 325,009 345,617 365,475
Marion 32,951 31,769 30,270 28,757 27,079 25,326
Marlboro 28,918 27,594 25,795 23,976 22,118 20,253
McCormick 10,210 9,671 9,377 8,927 8,344 7,653
Newberry 37,611 37,787 38,517 39,014 39,260 39,259
Oconee 74,349 75,908 80,243 84,121 87,557 90,506
Orangeburg 92,323 89,174 85,414 81,288 76,919 72,212
Pickens 119,344 121,637 128,142 134,150 140,528 145,801
Richland 385,754 406,455 419,656 432,699 444,778 454,195
Saluda 19,905 20,155 20,419 20,580 20,597 20,508
Spartanburg 284,769 296,741 325,915 354,513 384,537 415,808
Sumter 107,610 107,346 106,289 104,445 102,034 99,106
Union 28,914 27,731 27,080 26,347 25,481 24,467
Williamsburg 34,342 32,515 29,788 27,438 25,052 22,669
York 226,871 250,785 289,580 330,830 376,254 425,769

Notes:

*July 1, 2010 estimates and July 1, 2020 projections are not equal to April 1, 2000 and April 1, 2010 decennial census counts, and are included here for the purpose of trend analysis.

With each new release of annual estimates, the entire time series of estimates is revised for all years back to the last census, and all previously published estimates are superseded.

 

Sources:

U.S. Census Bureau, Annual Estimates of the Resident Population - Vintage 2019.

S.C. Department of Health and Environmental Control - Vital Records Department.

Population projections are calculated by South Carolina Revenue and Fiscal Affairs Office - Data Integration and Analysis Division.

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